Wednesday, February 7, 2024

Republicans got exactly what they wanted on immigration. Now they’re trying to kill it

no image description available
Sen. Minority Leader "Moscow Mitch" McConnell.

By Mark Sumner for Daily Kos

Daily Kos Staff

at 9:14:05a MST

REPUBLISHED BY:

Blue Country Gazette Blog

Rim Country Gazette Blog 

On Monday afternoon, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell delivered a speech in which he urged his fellow Republicans to support the bipartisan border security bill. In that speech, McConnell insisted that “this is a humanitarian and security crisis of historic proportions.” He explained that three months earlier he had deputized Sen. James Lankford to lead efforts to address this crisis and praised the resulting bill, which provides both border security and military assistance to American allies.

Three hours later, behind closed doors, McConnell urged Republicans to vote against the legislation. According to Punchbowl News, McConnell insisted that the problem wasn’t in the bill that Lankford negotiated, it was that the “political mood in the country has changed.”

Meaning that despite working months to get exactly what they demanded, they’re going to throw it away. For Donald Trump.

Since Republicans took control of the House following the 2022 midterm elections, they’ve insisted that any military assistance to Ukraine be paired with a border security bill. They laid out a sweeping set of demands, including making it tougher to meet the requirements for an initial asylum assessment and turning more people back at the border. They’ve fearmongered about “military-age males” crossing the border. 

That’s what’s in the bill. It’s exactly what’s in the bill: Turning back single men. Toughening the entry requirements. Reducing the processing of asylum seekers from years to under six months. It’s all in there.

Now Republicans are sending it back. 

How utterly feckless is their position? This fecking much. Following the Republican meeting on Monday night, Lankford refused to say that he would support the bill he negotiated. The same bill he’s been loudly defending for weeks. Here’s Lankford just 24 hours ago.

The key aspect of this, again, is are we, as Republicans, going to have press conferences and complain the border’s bad and then intentionally leave it open after the worst month in American history in December?

Now we know the answer. Yes. Yes, that’s exactly what they’re going to do. In fact, they’re going to do more than that. Republicans are going to come out on Tuesday, shut down the border bill that they negotiated and which gives them exactly what they claimed they wanted, and at the same time they’re going to vote to impeach Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas for failing to be tougher on the border. The level of hypocrisy should be toxic, but Republicans in Congress are protected by a superpower: a complete lack of morality.

Meanwhile, on the other side of the planet, Ukrainian troops are being forced to withdraw from a city they have defended for months because they are simply out of ammunition to hold back the Russians. And we won’t meet their desperate need. 

Republicans’ price for allowing America to assist Ukraine with a tiny fraction of our military hardware was supposed to be getting tough on the border, even if that meant that thousands of people who desperately need to escape oppression and threats of violence are turned away from the United States. Then they got that deal and turned it down, which only reinforces the idea that you should never bargain with terrorists

Why would anyone ever seek to negotiate with Senate Republicans, on any topic, ever again?

At least when someone is venal, they expect a payoff. These Republicans aren’t even that. They’re sub-venal. Spineless. Gutless. Cowed. They’re the party of chickenshit. And they have blood on their hands. 

Right now, around the world, America’s allies are seeing that we are fundamentally unreliable in a crisis. Right now, America’s enemies are breathing out a sigh of infinite relief. And in Ukraine, and Taiwan, and in both Israel and Gaza, they’re realizing that the United States—the United States that has been there for a century—has exited, stage right.

These guys aren’t just pleasing Trump. They’re setting the world ablaze. And they don’t even know why.

Republicans have made a mockery of Christianity by replacing Jesus Christ the Savior with Donald Trump the Antichrist.  His reign of terror must end.

Monday, February 5, 2024

Republicans get Ukraine demands met, so of course they change their minds on border deal

no image description available

A cartoon by Pedro Molina. (Comics and Daily Kos)

Trump tells GOP to kill immigration compromise so he can blame border woes on Biden

By Joan McCarter for Daily Kos

Daily Kos Staff 

at 11:21:19a MST

REPUBLISHED BY:

Blue Country Gazette Blog

Rim Country Gazette Blog

For months, congressional Republicans have insisted that they won’t allow aid to Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan to pass unless they also get big concessions on immigration. That was a purely political demand, egged on by Donald Trump, allowing them to change the subject to the border. 

Now that that demand is close to being met with a bipartisan deal in the Senate, Republicans have changed their tune, blatantly trying to keep this election-year issue alive. That’s made them look bad and left the critical aid package stranded, and now Republican leadership is reversing course and talking about splitting the two issues apart.

“It’s time for us to move something, hopefully including the border agreement,” Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell told reporters, “but we need to get help to Israel and Ukraine quickly.”

Republican Sen. John Cornyn of Texas, a close ally of McConnell, agreed. “It would be nice to change the status quo on the border, but if there is not the political support to do that, then I think we should proceed with the rest of the supplemental,” he said.

House Speaker Mike Johnson appears to agree as well. He’s been in close contact with Trump on the issue and is adamantly opposed to bringing the Senate’s border bill to the floor, if the Senate passes it. But in a meeting with Baltic leaders this week, he signaled that he’s open to the separate Ukraine aid bill. 

Speaking with reporters after the meeting, Lauri Hussar, the speaker of Estonia’s parliament, said Johnson expressed “his readiness” to deliver Ukraine aid, with Johnson saying there “should be a way to find a solution to the problems” and “domestic issues” in the way. 

“Yesterday we had the opportunity to meet with various congressman, with committee leaders, and of course opinions are different, we heard different views, but overall we are pleased to say there’s broad support for Ukraine,” Daiga Mieriņa, the speaker of Latvia’s parliament, added. “Speaker Johnson also affirmed this close partnership [with the Baltics] and that this close partnership would continue going forward.”

Johnson does, however, face a political problem—namely, MAGA Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s threat to try to oust him over Ukraine aid. “I just told him [Johnson] it’s an absolute no-go,” Greene said. “If he funds $60 billion to fund a war in Ukraine to continue killing a whole generation of Ukrainian men—to continue a war that is a losing war, that [Ukrainian President Volodymyr] Zelensky’s ready for peace talks—yeah, I would introduce the motion to vacate myself.” 

Johnson brushed off the threat, saying he was “not worried” about being ousted, but the Freedom Caucus is restless and enraged at Johnson over the fact that he keeps working with the Senate and White House to keep the government functioning.

There’s a way around that opposition, if Johnson is willing to let his GOP colleagues take it. House Democrats have a discharge petition that’s left over from last spring’s debt ceiling fight. Basically, it’s a shell bill into which text can be inserted, and it has priority consideration on the House floor if it gets enough signatures to pass. Democrats have that legislative text ready to go. Rep. Jared Moskowitz, a Florida Democrat, has already filed that supplemental aid bill, and it would take only a handful of Republicans signing on for the bill to be forced to the floor.

no image description available 

House Speaker Mike Johnson pretends to be doing his job (while The Donald calls the shots).

Sunday, February 4, 2024

Democrats Raskin, Crockett and friends are blowing up House GOP efforts to take down Biden

no image description available
Ranking member of the House Oversight Committee Jamie Raskin speaks as "Truth Squad" member Rep. Jasmine Crockett looks on during a media briefing concerning Donald Trump's business ties with foreign governments on Jan. 4, 2024, in Washington, D.C.

By Mark Sumner for Daily Kos

Daily Kos Staff

REPUBLISHED BY:

Blue Country Gazette Blog

Rim Country Gazette Blog

By now, anyone tuning into a House Oversight Committee or House Judiciary Committee hearing knows what to expect. With frequent slams of the gavel by their respective chairs, Republicans plod through repetitive attacks on President Joe Biden or waggle their fingers about some salacious claim including the phrase “Hunter Biden’s laptop.” Democrats try to object and occasionally insert a fact. But the next Republican is at the mic five minutes later, once again hammering the same lies.

At least that’s how it used to be. But anyone who has tuned in recently may have noticed a big change.

Democrats aren’t just tearing Republican arguments apart: They’re derailing hearings and getting their opponents genuinely flustered. The recent hearing in which Republicans intended to charge Hunter Biden with contempt for declining to testify behind closed doors is a good example. Not only did Hunter make a brief personal appearance and offer to testify right then and there in public, but Democrats were able to consistently throw Republicans off their game, blow away false evidence, expose their hypocrisy, and even hammer Donald Trump.

If all that seemed like it took a lot of behind-the-scenes planning, it did. But it won’t be the last time. Because as The Daily Beast reports, Democrats have a plan to make these hearings just as silly as the claims Republicans are making about Biden.

As soon as they gained control of the House in 2023, Republicans launched a series of supposed investigations into President Biden. And his children. And his brother. And anyone else they can lump in to the “Biden Family Investigation.”

For months, Rep. James Comer, who is heading up investigations in the House Oversight Committee, and Rep. Jim Jordan, who has the same role for the House Judiciary Committee, have been releasing false claims and mischaracterizing innocuous issues like a father loaning his son money for a car payment. But Republicans didn’t let having zero evidence stop them from announcing an impeachment inquiry in December.

The investigations have a clear goal: to reduce Biden’s chances of reelection and to signal to Trump that they’re trying to get revenge for his two impeachments. Republicans likely feel like these endless investigations worked well for them before the 2016 elections, when they spent two full years hectoring former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton about Benghazi.

But this time around, the whole thing, whether it’s Republicans badgering an art dealer who sold some of Hunter’s paintings, a disappearing informant, or flashing revenge porn on the floor of the House, has been ridiculous from start to finish. The House GOP has been on a year-long fishing expedition featuring a level of obsession that would embarrass Captain Ahab, and they haven’t even found a minnow.

As Republicans ramped up the Biden attacks, Democrats responded. Rep. Jamie Raskin put together a “Truth Squad” that includes Reps. Greg Casar, Jasmine Crockett, Maxwell Frost, Daniel Goldman, and Jared Moskowitz. If some of those names sound familiar, it’s because they’ve been front and center in disrupting Republican plans.

It was Crockett who forcefully kicked off a confrontation with Rep. Nancy Mace who, on a committee where every Republican member is white, accused Hunter Biden and Democrats of engaging in “white privilege.” Crockett forced Mace to try and defend her indefensible remarks, and then Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez slammed the gate closed by pointing out how Mace voted to eliminate the House Subcommittee on Civil Rights.

As The Daily Beast article highlights, Moskowitz was on hand with a poster showing a chummy photo of Trump and sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein when it seemed that Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene was going to once again show nude pictures of Hunter Biden. “You come up here and talk about Hunter Biden’s behavior and you’re so disgusted,” said Moskowitz, “but the guy that you all kneel to associates himself with a pedophile.”

Those quick responses, along with Hunter Biden staring down Republicans from the visitor section, became the most viral moments from the hearing. Put together with sharp responses from other Democrats who refused to play Comer’s game, Republicans were left looking like this:

Image

The best thing to come from all this is that Raskin and the Democrats have been joined by a new set of critics attacking Comer and his pointless investigation. As Kerry Eleveld reported earlier, Republicans are none too happy that this absurd “investigation” has gone on so long and come up so dry.

“James Comer continues to embarrass himself and House Republicans. He screws up over and over and over," said a source identified as "close" to House GOP leadership, who appeared to be playing CYA for the leadership team. The source's big fear was that Comer would ultimately fail to provide the foundation necessary (i.e. evidence) to follow through with impeaching Biden.

These anonymous Republicans don’t seem to be seriously considering that maybe Comer is failing not because he’s incompetent (or at least, not only because he’s incompetent) but because Joe Biden did nothing wrong. But then, they are Republicans. They’re used to having leaders whose closets are jam-packed with skeletons.

Republicans are trying to repeat their perceived success with Benghazi, but this time Democrats know the game and they have a plan to disrupt it. That plan isn’t necessarily convincing Republicans that Biden did nothing wrong, but it sure is making these hearings more fun to watch.

Marjorie Taylor Greene sure likes those nude pictures of Hunter Biden.

Saturday, February 3, 2024

Trump campaign to donors: Ignore what he says and just write the damn checks

 DES MOINES, IOWA - JULY 28: Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump speaks to guests at the Republican Party of Iowa 2023 Lincoln Dinner on July 28, 2023 in Des Moines, Iowa. Thirteen Republican presidential candidates were scheduled to speak at the event. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images) 

Donald Trump speaks at the Republican Party of Iowa's Lincoln Dinner on July 28, 2023, in Des Moines, Iowa.

"Sure, Trump's a lunatic, but he's gonna win and you'll want to be able to get his ear." 

By Kerry Eleveld

Daily Kos Staff 

In a truly telling admission that Donald Trump's campaign operatives have no control over their candidate, top adviser Susie Wiles told Republican megadonors at a private event Tuesday not to take his rage-filled invectives seriously.

In any normal campaign with a remotely normal candidate, top campaign aides would just tell their candidate to put a sock in their incendiary rhetoric. They could warn, "You're killing us with rich donors!" And that would be the end of it.

But it's becoming clear that Trump is too far gone for that fix. They got one sedated speech out of him after his Iowa victory and now it's Katy, bar the door! Trump appears even more erratic now than he did in 2020, and his campaign chiefs obviously don't stand a chance of moderating him, much less controlling him. As NBC News writes of the ritzy Palm Beach event at the Four Seasons (hotel, not Total Landscaping):

Wiles conceded to the donors that Trump is going to say things people don’t like. But she countered that he is poised to lock down his party’s nomination and that he is the GOP’s best hope to defeat President Joe Biden, according to a person familiar with her remarks.

In other words: Write checks if you want access, folks. Sure, Trump's a lunatic, but he's gonna win and you'll want to be able to get his ear. 

Wiles' appeal came several days after Trump outright threatened Nikki Haley donors with being "permanently barred from the MAGA camp." (No presidential inaugural ball for you!) Some Haley donors were reportedly in attendance at the event.

And while it's true that Trump will most likely secure the Republican nomination, recent polling is very mixed on whether he's the better general election candidate to face off against President Joe Biden. 

The most recent Quinnipiac University poll (Jan. 25 - 29) showed Haley besting Biden by 5 points in a head-to-head matchup, 47% - 42%, while Trump loses to Biden by 6 points, 44% - 50%. It's just one survey but by and large, the polling is all over the map, particularly when third-party variables are thrown in.

What is perhaps most confounding, however, is a campaign chief exclusively trying to sell a bunch of well-heeled donors on the idea of simply ignoring whatever Trump burps out of his mouth. How exactly does the campaign expect to convey that message to average voters—particularly the critical swing voters who are already registering their disdain for Trump at the ballot box?

In the view of some political observers (Haley included), Trump truly has lost a step since 2020, not to mention 2016. In fact, it’s the subject of a new Biden campaign ad called “Confused” posted on Truth Social this week.

So the key question the Trump camp will need to address is: How does a campaign woo swing voters with a candidate whose top campaign aides are already apologizing for his behavior on the trail? Because Trump’s handlers are already failing at muzzling him.

The Donald is totally out of control, and he's getting worse by the day.

Friday, February 2, 2024

The alt-right saw Taylor Swift as an 'Aryan goddess.' She shook them off as 'repulsive'



no image description available
Taylor Swift

Beware MAGgAts: The Swifties are coming for you at the Super Bowl!

By Charles Jay for Community Contributors Team

Community

Daily Kos

at 6:45:05a MST

REPUBLISHED BY:

Blue Country Gazette Blog

Rim Country Gazette Blog 

Fox News hosts have been engaged in pushing out some pretty special conspiracy theories. The newest is that the Super Bowl somehow has been rigged so that pop megastar Taylor Swift, who is dating Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce, will have a platform to endorse President Joe Biden’s reelection campaign.

Fox host Jesse Waters even went so far as to suggest that the Pentagon’s “psychological operations unit” has turned Swift into “an asset.” He said Swift could be “a front for a covert political agenda.” The Pentagon dismissed the accusation with a Swiftian song reference: “As for this conspiracy theory, we are going to shake it off.”

RELATED STORY: Fox News loses it over Taylor Swift

But there was at least one unexpected voice of reason in the Murdoch media empire: Fox Sports pundit Colin Cowherd, who on his show “The Herd” blasted those people who have a problem with Swift appearing on NFL broadcasts when she attends a game. He cited a New York Times report that found that Swift appeared on camera for only 32 seconds during the 3.5-hour broadcast of Sunday’s Ravens-Chiefs AFC Championship game—17 seconds of which were devoted to an in-house promo for the network’s upcoming broadcast of Sunday’s Grammy Awards.

“There’s a lot of really weird, lonely, insecure men out there,” Cowherd said. “The fact that a pop star—the world’s biggest pop star—is dating a star tight end who had one of his greatest games ever, and the network puts them on the air briefly, then it bothers you, what does that say about your life?”

He then pointed out all the male celebrities whose presence at past sporting events has been celebrated such as Drake, Spike Lee, and Jack Nicholson. “But a talented and beautiful woman is on the air—one who would never pay attention to lonely men—and it bothers them.”

He added that there are a lot of men out there who have never had “real intimacy with a woman” and they … “are often misogynistic and resent women who didn’t give them the time they think they deserve.”

It’s all quite ironic because some of these same weird, angry, insecure men back in 2016 were idolizing Swift as an “Aryan goddess.” In May 2016, Vice wrote:

Nazis and members of the "alt right"—an Internet subculture that is best described as the venn diagram of hipster culture and white supremacy—have been spreading a conspiracy theory that Swift is a covert Nazi. They claim Swift's songs "red pilled" America into believing a conservative, racist agenda. …

"Firstly, Taylor Swift is a pure Aryan goddess, like something out of classical Greek poetry. Athena reborn. That's the most important thing," explains Andre Anglin, the writer of the white supremacist blog the Daily Stormer. "It is also an established fact that Taylor Swift is secretly a Nazi and is simply waiting for the time when Donald Trump makes it safe for her to come out and announce her Aryan agenda to the world. Probably, she will be betrothed to Trump's son, and they will be crowned American royalty." …

Now all of this was nothing more than these neo-Nazi fanboys projecting their white supremacist views onto Swift’s image. Swift, of course, had absolutely nothing to do with any white supremacist groups. The 19-year-old Swift revealed in a 2009 Rolling Stone interview that she supported President Barack Obama, saying, “I’ve never seen this country so happy about a political decision in my entire time of being alive. I’m so glad this was my first election.”

Vice said Swift’s lawyer, J. Douglas Baldridge, did send a threatening letter to Pinterest after one teenage girl posted memes attributing Adolf Hitler quotes to Swift to spoof memes that falsely attributed inspiring quotes to Marilyn Monroe. Baldridge wrote:

The association of Ms. Swift with Adolf Hitler undisputedly is 'harmful,' 'abusive,' 'ethnically offensive,' 'humiliating to other people,' 'libelous,' and no doubt 'otherwise objectionable.' It is of no import that Ms. Swift may be a public figure or that Pinterest conveniently now argues that the Offending Material is mere satire or parody. Public figures have rights. And, there are certain historical figures, such as Adolf Hitler, Charles Manson and the like, who are universally identified in the case law and popular culture as lightning rods for emotional and negative reaction.

At the time, Swift kept her political views to herself. In a 2012 interview, she told Time, “I don’t talk about politics because it might influence other people. And I don’t think that I know enough yet in life to be telling people who to vote for.” She did not make any endorsement in the 2016 presidential election.

In August 2017, The Daily Beast wrote immediately after the violent white supremacist rally in Charlottesville, Virginia, that the time had come for Swift to “denounce her neo-Nazi admirers” who have “claimed her as one of their own.” The story concluded: “Say it after me, TayTay: ‘I, Taylor Swift, denounce Nazis. And I am not attracted to Eric Trump.’”

But then in October 2018, Swift obviously felt she knew enough to tell people who to vote for when she endorsed a candidate for the first time: Democrat Phil Bredesen, who was running against Republican Marsha Blackburn for Senate in Tennessee.

"As much as I have in the past and would like to continue voting for women in office, I cannot support Marsha Blackburn," Swift wrote on Instagram, adding that "her voting record in Congress appalls and terrifies me."

And in the Netflix documentary “Miss Americana,” there is a revealing scene in which Swift is shown discussing her decision to endorse Bredesen with her parents. Her father advises her that that she might lose a lot of fans. That’s what happened to country superstars The Chicks, then known as the Dixie Chicks, when in 2003 lead singer Natalie Maines at a London concert said she was “ashamed” to be from the same state as President George W. Bush on the eve of the Iraq War. And Swift’s mother said she was really worried about her daughter’s safety if she made such an endorsement.

But Swift said she felt “sad” that she didn’t speak out during the 2016 election, and told her parents that this time, “I need to be on the right side of history.”

“It really is a big deal for me. She (Blackburn) votes against fair pay for women, she votes against reauthorization of the violence against women act which is just basically protecting us from domestic abuse, and stalking, stalking. She thinks that if you’re a gay couple or even if you look like a gay couple you should be allowed to be kicked out of a restaurant.

“Its really basic human rights …  And  I can’t see another commercial and see her disguising these policies behind the words `Tennessee Christian values.’ Those aren’t Tennessee Christian values. I live in Tennessee. I am Christian. That’s not what we stand for. I need to do this. Dad, I need you to forgive me for doing it because I’m doing it.”

The scene closes with her father hugging her.

Then in a September 2019 Rolling Stone interview, Swift denounced white supremacists in no uncertain terms. She said:

“There’s literally nothing worse than white supremacy. It’s repulsive. There should be no place for it. Really, I keep trying to learn as much as I can about politics, and it’s become something I’m now obsessed with, whereas before, I was living in this sort of political ambivalence, because the person I voted for had always won. We were in such an amazing time when Obama was president because foreign nations respected us. We were so excited to have this dignified person in the White House. My first election was voting for him when he made it into office, and then voting to re-elect him. I think a lot of people are like me, where they just didn’t really know that this could happen. But I’m just focused on the 2020 election. I’m really focused on it. I’m really focused on how I can help and not hinder.”

In October 2020, Swift endorsed Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. She spoke to V Magazine for their Thought Leaders Issue and said:

“The change we need most is to elect a president who recognizes that people of color deserve to feel safe and represented, that women deserve the right to choose what happens to their bodies, and that the LGBTQIA+ community deserves to be acknowledged and included. Everyone deserves a government that takes global health risks seriously and puts the lives of its people first. The only way we can begin to make things better is to choose leaders who are willing to face these issues and find ways to work through them.

“I will proudly vote for Joe Biden and Kamala Harris in this year’s presidential election. Under their leadership, I believe America has a chance to start the healing process it so desperately needs.”

And now the woman who was once the alt-right’s “Aryan goddess” is viewed by some of the same people as being under Satan’s influence as the conspiracy theories spread that the Super Bowl has been rigged so Swift can have a big stage to endorse Biden. Kandiss Taylor, an ultra-right Georgia Republican politician, wrote on X:

Image

As a former “Aryan goddess,” you can’t fall much farther than into the arms of a Pfizer vaccine spokesman.

Who do you prefer as your Aryan goddess - Taylor Swift or one of these "ladies"?

Thursday, February 1, 2024

Trump delaying his trials might not be the master stroke he thinks it is




NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JANUARY 22: Protesters gather as E. Jean Carroll arrives at Manhattan federal court in New York as her defamation suit against Donald Trump resumes on January 22, 2024 in New York City. Carroll, who sued Trump for defaming her when he was president, is expected to conclude her case by Monday afternoon, after which Trump's defense case will start. He is listed as one of only two defense witnesses and has said he plans to testify.  (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
Protesters gather at Manhattan federal court in New York as E. Jean Carroll's defamation suit against Donald Trump resumes on Jan. 22, 2024, in New York City.

By Kerry Eleveld

Daily Kos Staff

Donald Trump's success in delaying his trials has garnered lots of attention. Criminal proceedings in the Jan. 6 election subversion case—arguably the biggest threat Trump faces before Election Day—remain in an indefinite holding pattern while the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals, and likely the Supreme Court, weigh Trump's claim to have presidential immunity from criminal prosecution. 

Pundits and analysts have approached the notion that voters might ultimately cast their ballots in the November election without knowing the outcome in any of Trump's 91 criminal indictments with an air of trepidation.

Reality-based voters believe that if Trump is reelected, he will abuse his power to quash his legal liabilities. And in that sense, justice delayed would truly be justice denied.

But in terms of electoral outcomes this November, the conventional wisdom holds that Trump facing trial ahead of Election Day would redound to the benefit of President Joe Biden. 

As ABC News' Jonathan Karl pointed out on this week's ”Hacks on Tap” podcast, the parade of horribles about Trump's behavior on Jan. 6 would all come to light via testimony from Trump insiders such as his former White House chief of staff Mark Meadows and his deputy chief of staff Dan Scavino. 

"It's a devastating portrait of Donald Trump," said Karl, who has reported extensively on the evidence against Trump. "When these guys are forced to speak under oath, and they talk about Trump's behavior after the election, in November of 2020, and the days leading up to Jan. 6 and on Jan. 6 itself, as the Capitol is under attack ... it is devastating."

But truth be told, nothing guarantees a Trump conviction would actually play better for Biden and worse for Trump.

Conventional wisdom also held that 91 criminal indictments would weigh Trump down in the Republican primary. Instead, Trump's legal morass has benefitted him as he cultivated a sense of victimhood and grievance among his supporters. Indeed, instead of Trump stumbling in the primary, he now looks to be a lock for the GOP nomination short of some exogenous event.

The general election isn't the primary, of course, and polling has suggested Trump could suffer from a pre-Election Day conviction. In Iowa, for instance, exit polls showed that 31% of Republican voters would view Trump as unfit for office if he were convicted of a crime.

But people are notoriously bad at predicting the behavior of their future selves, and Trump is notoriously good at manipulating political liabilities to his advantage. 

The bottom line is, with Trump, there's no sure thing, and there's simply no guarantee that a conviction would work to Biden's favor in November. Trump might actually manage to turn such a conviction into an existential rallying cry for his most avid supporters while anti-Trumpers feel satisfied that Trump is finally being held to account. In other words, perhaps his voters get even more engaged while anti-Trumpers take their foot off the gas a bit. 

But let's flip the equation: What if Trump successfully delays all his comeuppance until after the election? No trials start and the judicial system is simply on hold until the dust settles from the election. 

In that case, anti-Trumpers would likely be livid at the thought of Trump successfully gaming the legal system once again and potentially avoiding being held to account indefinitely. 

Democrats' message could be something along the lines of: "Trump has gamed the legal system and evaded justice his whole life. Don't let him get away with it again. VOTE."

It's exactly the type of scenario that could inspire a critical mass of voters to climb over broken glass to get to the polls and ensure Trump faces trial. Without poll-testing such a message, it's hard to get a sense of the impact. But the idea of Trump mounting a violent attack on the U.S. seat of government with the intent of stealing the 2020 election and never actually going to trial over it is infuriating on the basest of levels.

Look, no one can predict the future. This is only to say that as the nation watches the gears of justice grind ever so slowly in advance of Nov. 5, there's no reason to panic from an electoral standpoint. 

Testimony from Trump allies in the Jan. 6 trial could ultimately prove "devastating" to his reelection bid, as Karl implied, but there's no silver bullet here. It's also possible that Trump managing to stall justice until after the election would absolutely enrage anti-Trump voters along with anyone who believes that no one—not even a former president—is above the law.

Voters will ultimately hold Trump's fate and that of our country in their hands. And a powerful and inspiring argument against Trump ever seeing the inside of the White House again can be made either way.

WE CAN ONLY HOPE: The next best thing to this image just might be Trump getting his trials delayed until after the election.

Thousands Rally Outside Shuttered Kennedy Center, Chanting ‘Hands Off!’

  Demonstrators gather outside of the Kennedy Center in protest of Trump's takeover and closure of the building. (photo: C...