Saturday, July 31, 2021

HOW SCIENCE COULD SAVE US: Extreme crop yield increases unexpectedly provided by "junk" DNA


yield00.png
Do you notice a slight difference in grain yield? Nipp: wild-type ("Nipponbare") rice; FTO: Nipponbare rice plus the FTO gene

OK, you just don’t see results like this.  A tripling of grain yield in the greenhouse?  Translating to a 50% increase out in the field, for real?  Are you kidding me?

Something profound has been hit upon here.  Not only is it a jaw-dropping result, but it arises from an approach that’s totally different.  I think we might be talking about this for a long time.  

We’re running out of arable land, but the population keeps growing.  We’ll need to get far better crop yields on the land we have in the coming decades if we’re to avert mass starvation.  

Lots of people have been busting their butts for decades trying to further improve crop yields by breeding, genome editing, big-data computational approaches, studying the regulatory networks within plants, trying to improve photosynthetic efficiency — you name it — and with only modest success.  This has led many to believe that genetic approaches are running out of steam.

So along come Chuan He of the University of Chicago, Guifang Jia of Peking University, and several colleagues.  They put a single gene from another species into plants and waltz into a bonanza like this.  Their research was published July 22 in Nature Biotechnology.

The picture above is of rice from the greenhouse, but they also tried the same thing in potato, which is not closely related to rice ... and the same thing happened.  Here is a comparison from the field:

yield02.jpg
I don’t think I have to label which one is modified

Chuan He alludes to even more success they haven’t reported yet:

“The change really is dramatic.  What’s more, it worked with almost every type of plant we tried it with so far, and it’s a very simple modification to make.”

I don’t mean to say they were merely lucky.  They’ve been meticulously studying plants and poring over new approaches for years, and they admit they were surprised by their own result.  But as with anything, if you keep at it, sometimes you just get a hold of one….

yield01.gif

So let’s take a look at the new approach they used, what’s so different about it, and what it means for future work.

First of all, the “other species” they got the gene from is none other than the humble Homo sapiens.  Of course, you can’t develop commercial crops with human genes in them, but that’s not the intention here.  The point is that this gene has a function that plants hadn’t quite seen before, and because it’s from a non-plant, the plant doesn’t know how to regulate it, so it’s free to do its thing.  This exposed the phenomenon for us, and now we’ve got to figure out other ways to achieve it.  

This approach is so different because it ultimately relies on “junk” DNA to achieve very broad effects on the plant.  Most approaches have been focused — and quite logically so — on changing specific components of say, photosynthesis, or how sugar moves around, or how flowers form.  But here we change many things by changing the very nature of the plant’s chromosomes.  Instead of altering one thing, we alter thousands of things, all at once.

So it all starts with the structure of DNA.  A gene can’t do anything if it’s not accessible, and in a higher organism like a plant or a human, a lot of DNA does get tucked away, wound around spools called histones.  Packed-up DNA is called heterochromatin, while more-open DNA is called euchromatin:

yield03.jpg
The black thread is DNA; the blue spools are histones

The plant has several ways to pack and unpack DNA like this, and it does so according to its own agenda.  DNA is negatively charged, so it repels itself, but histones are positively charged, and they can ease this repulsion and allow DNA to compact together.  One way to open up the DNA is to stick acetyl groups (basically vinegar molecules) onto the histones.  That makes histones less positively charged and allows the DNA to self-repel some more and opens things up:

yield04.jpg

A lot of DNA information gets copied to RNA.  Then a lot of that RNA goes off to other parts of the cell to be translated into proteins or do other things.  But some of that RNA just hangs around in the nucleus near the DNA and doesn’t have any obvious function.  It’s very stable and hangs around for a long time unless it’s actively degraded.  It has repeated sequences that don’t seem to code for anything.  It’s made from what we think of as “junk” DNA, which is interspersed throughout the genome for no apparent reason.  This “junk” DNA, though, makes up about half of our genomes.

It was realized in 2014 that if you take this repetitive RNA away from euchromatin, it collapses into heterochromatin.  That was elaborated upon in 2019 with the realization that it’s simply the negative charge of RNA that allows it to counteract the positive charge of histones and open up DNA.  I’ll try to pick one figure from these pretty extensive studies that shows this clearly.  

On the left side (-) we have human cells with a stain that lights up DNA; heterochromatin shows up especially well.  On the right side (+) are the same kind of cells that got perforated and loaded up with DNase I, an enzyme that eats DNA.  In the top row, not surprisingly, DNase I eats up the DNA, and we don’t get much staining on the (+) side.

yield05a.jpg

But in the second row, we add RNase A (an enzyme that eats RNA) first, then we add DNase I.  When we get rid of all the RNA in the cell this way, suddenly DNase I can’t eat the DNA anymore, because it’s densely packed into heterochromatin, as you can see by the bright staining on the (+) side.  The third and fourth rows are pretty interesting, because there we eat up all the RNA first, but then we put some RNA back in.  The funny thing is that it doesn’t even matter whether we add human RNA or E. coli RNA.  Once we do that, the DNA opens up again and is able to be eaten by DNase I.  So, to convert heterochromatin to euchromatin, literally any old RNA will do.  We just have to have lots of it hanging out in the nucleus near the DNA.

I said earlier that this “junk” RNA will hang around in the nucleus for a long time unless it’s actively degraded.  One way it does get degraded is if methyl (—CH3) groups get attached to it.  The plant has enzymes that come along and add these methyl groups to RNA in whatever pattern the plant decides is appropriate.  Then other enzymes look for methylated RNA and chew it up, again however the plant decides is appropriate.

The human gene that got added to these plants, FTO, takes these methyl groups off of the RNA, specifically when they’re attached to adenosine.   (RNA, like DNA, is a chain made up of four different kinds of bases, and adenosine is one of them.) 

  

yield06.jpg
FTO removes the methyl from 6-methyladenosine

FTO’s removal of methyl groups makes the RNA more stable so that it can persist longer.  FTO seems to prefer to do this to the repetitive RNA that hangs around the nucleus.  More RNA in the nucleus for a longer time generally means more-open DNA, and more genes being activated.  Plants can remove methyl groups from RNA, but they don’t have any gene that looks very much like FTO, and FTO’s pattern of preference seems to be different from that of plants.  There’s just something serendipitously very good about it.

When Drs. He, Jia, and the others took a look at what genes were active in their superplants, they found that over 11,000 of them were turned up!  Eleven thousand!  It’s like, just make more of everything!  It’s an unconventional — even kooky — thing to suggest as a crop yield approach, but there it is.

They found that the plants weren’t taller, and that the rice grains didn’t look any different, but that there were just a lot more of them, and more tillers (grain-bearing branches) per plant.  They also found that the plants converted CO2 to sugar faster, presumably to keep up with all these new mouths to feed.  A lot of times when you succeed in making plants with more tillers or seeds or whatever, you don’t end up increasing grain yield because many of the seeds that do form get aborted.  Didn’t happen that way here.

As if all of this weren’t interesting enough, there is more to say about FTO.  In humans, it is strongly linked to obesity.  Certain mutations in it lead to higher body mass index (BMI).  When you turn up the level of FTO in mice, they attain greater weight, regardless of the diet they’re fed.  FTO in humans and mice appears mostly in the brain.  In the hypothalamus, which controls food intake, its level is turned down when essential amino acids are absent.  So, FTO appears to be a signal that amino acids are plentiful, and hence that the body should use its available resources to add new body mass.

Not only that, but the cell growth thing goes a little further.  FTO abundance is linked to gastric cancer, acute myeloid leukemia, and glioblastoma.  Cancer cells are ones whose growth is out of control, and lots of FTO is an enabler of that.  It must crank up a lot of genes that are associated with central metabolism; that is, associated with adding mass to cells.

So it sort of makes sense that FTO could act as a signal for plants to grow as well.  You wouldn’t necessarily expect it to have a similar effect in organisms as radically different as humans and plants, but its universality makes it awfully compelling, wouldn’t you say?

I ought to close with some kind of hopeful statement that sums all of this up, but I’ll leave that to UChicago professor Michael Kremer, who took home a 2019 Nobel Prize in economics for his work in fighting global poverty. 

“This is a very exciting technology and could potentially help address problems of poverty and food insecurity at a global scale—and could also potentially be useful in responding to climate change.”

I think this can indeed be a significant part of the solution.  We just need to understand it a little better.  OK, plant scientists, that means the challenge is in front of you.  Let’s get it!

And as a hat tip to our friends in Chicago, here’s Sufjan Stevens with “Chicago”. 

All things grow, all things grow…

If you don't believe in science, go pop another beer and get the hell out of its way.

Friday, July 30, 2021

New energy data shows solar and wind rising as 'King Coal' continues an epic crash

HOUSTON, TEXAS - FEBRUARY 21: A view of high voltage transmission towers on February 21, 2021 in Houston, Texas. Millions of Texans lost their power when winter storm Uri hit the state and knocked out coal, natural gas and nuclear plants that were unprepared for the freezing temperatures brought on by the storm. Wind turbines that provide an estimated 24 percent of energy to the state became inoperable when they froze. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

When writing or reading about the climate crisis, the challenge can seem overwhelming. The evidence of the issue is written in fire, flood, drought, and destruction. The numbers grow worse every year. And the plans that hold sufficient scope to address the problem—whether President Biden’s plan or the Green New Deal—never seem to get much closer. 

It’s easy to point out the enormity of the issue, and the urgency. It’s easy to feel as if the opportunity to do anything meaningful has already slipped away; as if we’re doomed to sit by, watching the world get hotter and society less stable as the forests burn and the rising seas turn sour. No matter how concerned you may be, or how committed to the cause, it’s easy to become discouraged. After all, writing about the climate crisis can seem like covering one endless scream where everyone is in peril and nobody acts.

Except that’s not the subject today. Today we’re looking at something genuinely remarkable: We’re looking at a single chart that shows just how hopeless things aren’t. It’s a chart that shows how things can change faster than you might believe. How they already changed faster than anyone—including all the “industry experts”—would have believed. A single chart that records just how amazing the last two decades have been in spite of fossil fuel companies pushing back hard and Republicans feeding a disinformation campaign far larger than the one surrounding COVID-19. 

It’s a chart that shows that no matter how it often seems like it, we’re not standing still. And how last year, for the first time in 70 years, something special happened.

That chart comes from a report issued by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday morning. And it looks like this:

Renewable sources replace coal as the nation’s second largest source of electricity.

The headline here is certainly worth celebrating: Renewable sources of energy are now the second-largest source of electricity in America, generating 21% of the total. It’s not actually the first time this has happened; back in 1950 when the agency first began, hydro power was the nation’s No. 2 source of electricity. But there are only so many places that can be, or should be, dammed to produce electricity and unfortunately, coal is abundant. The next 60 years were the Age of Coal, with that most destructive of fossil fuels growing ever more dominant. 

But what’s happened since 2005 is genuinely amazing. King Coal was toppled from his throne in a revolution that was one part natural gas fracking and one part increasingly cheap wind and solar. And this is the first time that the EIA has placed production from renewables above that of coal.

The reason natural gas grew so rapidly over the last two decades is easy to describe. Gas is easily used in the same kind of steam-cycle power production as coal, but it has several advantages. First, gas need not be stored in huge stockpiles on the ground—stockpiles that are subject to both weathering and to spontaneously catching fire. Second, burning gas produces a lot of CO2, but in terms of other byproducts, it’s almost infinitely cleaner than coal so there’s no need for expensive “scrubbers” that eliminate things such as the sulfur dioxide from coal that causes acid rain. Third, gas doesn’t leave behind tons of ash that has to be stored in great eroding mounds or slurry pools that constantly threaten to flood the area in toxic sludge.

But more important than any of that, gas plants can be small. Utilities can create gas generators of almost every size, and simply add more when needed. Coal plants range from merely huge to absolutely titanic, and the economies of coal make it difficult to scale them up or down.

So why didn’t companies use gas to begin with? Because before the mid-1990s, the price of natural gas varied widely. That made gas suitable for building small “peaking” plants that could handle extra demand on those days when the grid was at maximum demand, but left cheaper coal to carry the main demand. It was only after fracking became widespread and the price of gas stabilized at a rate that made it competitive with coal that the big switchover began.

What’s striking about the renewables line on the chart is how fast it doesn’t grow until about 2005. That line reflects mostly more hydro power, small-scale solar, and an irregular trickle of wind projects over the span of decades. It’s not until prices for both wind and solar became cost-competitive with coal that things started to change quickly. The decades in which annual changes in renewables could be measured in a fraction of a percentage point charge abruptly into a steady rise, and the rate of that rise is increasing. 

By 2018, the cost of building new solar or wind power from scratch had reached a point where it was less than the cost of simply maintaining an existing coal plant, even ignoring the cost of coal. That’s a powerful incentive to switch. Even as Donald Trump was talking about how he was going to “save” the coal industry, it was plummeting in a near freefall, shedding both capacity and workers.

Overall, what the chart shows is just this: Things can change. With the right motivations, they can change quickly. The one problem with this chart is that it might tempt everyone to just sit back and let the market handle it. After all, the last two decades show that gigawatts of production can change almost overnight when dollars are on the line.

Only there are reasons that the government still has to shove, and shove hard, to make things move rapidly enough and in the right direction.

  • Gas is cheap. Thanks to fracking, there is an absolute glut of natural gas—so much that at several points, all the storage facilities in the nation have been nearly choked with the stuff. How long will fracking allow fields from Texas to North Dakota to Pennsylvania to continue producing at a record pace? No one knows. But right now the use of natural gas is still increasing. That means more CO2 and more spilled methane. 
  • Innovation needs to come home. When Republicans fume about Chinese solar panels, they’re at least half right. Part of the price reduction for solar has come through availability of cheap panels manufactured mostly in China or India. The U.S. continues to make breakthroughs in solar cell efficiency, but needs help in turning those improvements into an industry that sees American panels being shipped around the world.
  • Inequity is a market inevitability. Left to itself, the market will gradually close out coal plants and create more renewables. But it will also leave behind ecological disasters. Coal is a dying extraction industry. What such industries leave behind are unreclaimed lands, crumbling plants, and communities in ruin. Government intervention is absolutely necessary if this failing industry is going to be ushered out the door in a way that gives workers and the surrounding areas a soft landing rather than seeing coal executives wave bye-bye beneath golden parachutes. And the government needs to pay particular attention to both cleaning up and providing jobs to communities of color, which are often right in the zones of heaviest pollution.
  • It’s not fast enough. The chart shows the energy industry can change more quickly than anyone believed. Now it has to change faster. We don’t have more decades to make this transition, not when every wasted year represents more of that drought, fire, and flood we mentioned back at the beginning.

The abrupt change in America’s energy mix should be good news to everyone. Even if much of that production has switched to natural gas, it shows that enormous change is possible. 

Now let’s make it happen again. Faster.


Thursday, July 29, 2021

First day of testimony in Jan. 6 probe immediately met with more Republican disinformation

WASHINGTON, DC - JUNE 07:  Committee Chairman Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) questions Peter Neffenger, administrator of the Transportation Security Administration, during Neffenger's testimony before the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee June 7, 2016 in Washington, DC. The committee heard testimony on the topic "Frustrated Travelers: Rethinking TSA Operations to Improve Passenger Screening and Address Threats to Aviation."  (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

The Republican "response" to the first police testimony before the House select committee investigating the Jan. 6 insurrection has mainly centered on telling reporters that they were far too busy with their Very Important Work to pay attention to such frivolities. This is coupled with the usual stock claims that the probe is a partisan witch hunt that Democrats have only willed into existence to make Republicans look bad, and everyone is making far too much of this recent attempt to overthrow the government of the United States and we should all just move on already.

Sen. Ron Johnson is one of the Republicans who has invested significant time in portraying the violence of Jan. 6 as tragic, to be sure, but being terribly oversold by Democrats, liberals, CNN, and Republicanism's ever-expanding list of antifascist enemies. The Ron Johnson mantra is, loosely, that it just wasn't that big a deal:

 

Replying to
At a Senate hearing, I asked the asst dir of the FBI’s counterterrorism division, how many guns were confiscated in the Capitol or on its grounds on Jan. 6. She replied, "None."

 

Ah ha! Take that, people who still want to investigate a violent insurrection a whole six months after the fact. How can you say it was serious if there were no guns confiscated?

The problem, as a great many people who are not Ron Johnson and will never be Ron Johnson pointed out, is that that's false. There were most certainly guns "confiscated" that day. Johnson is once again repeating a Trumpian claim that simply isn't true, one that's already been fact-checked. Guns were brought to the Capitol, and arrests were made for it.

The reason there weren't more guns confiscated that day was, as repeatedly testified to by officers on the scene and their superiors, because officers were fighting for their lives as a mob of attackers assaulted them with Tasers, bear spray, makeshift weapons, and thrown objects. Arrests weren't happening. Searching suspects wasn't happening. Even when enough backup arrived to expel the rioters from the building, the rioters were allowed to leave without arrests being made because officers could still not risk the crowd turning even more violent.

We'll likely never have even a vague count of how many guns were carried into the Capitol that day, but we do know that guns were present. And in arrests of identified insurrectionists afterwards, police confiscated enough guns and ammunition to kill every member of Congress several times over.

So this is just Johnson being an insufferable asshole, yet again, for no good reason. He and other Republicans are so invested in portraying an attempt to topple government as of no particular political note—nobody important died on that day, after all—that they are willing to grasp at whatever straws they can. Would a supposed lack of gun-related arrests intended to paint the crowd as not as violent as it could have been, when beating police officers and chanting about hanging Mike Pence?

Would it not count as terrorism if the terrorists did not use guns? Is that where he's going with this? Because there are quite a few famous terrorist incidents in which guns were not used. Perhaps Johnson's staff could look them up.

In any event, the Republicans who promoted the false election claims used by the insurrectionists to justify their attempted overthrow of government aren't reevaluating their life choices based on the testimony of four law enforcement officers attacked by the crowd that day. The party intends to pretend that they did not directly incite an insurrection through their own propaganda.

That's because it didn't work. If it had worked, Johnson and the others would be standing in front of the cameras portraying the insurrection as a new American Revolution, one that would finally allow the nation to achieve its anti-democratic greatness by solidifying Republicanism as a greater force than elections themselves. We still might see that one in the next midterms, if Georgia Republicans have their way.

Yeah, they had lots of guns, and they also had a gallows intended for the necks of Mike Pence, Nancy Pelosi, and any other congresspeople they could drag out of the Capitol.

Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Republicans hate the word, but it's the truth: Traitors

WASHINGTON, DC - FEBRUARY 9: In this screenshot taken from a congress.gov webcast,  Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD) – lead manager for the impeachment speaks on the first day of former President Donald Trump's second impeachment trial at the U.S. Capitol on February 9, 2021 in Washington, DC. House impeachment managers will make the case that Trump was â€Å“singularly responsible” for the January 6th attack at the U.S. Capitol and he should  be convicted and barred from ever holding public office again. (Photo by congress.gov via Getty Images) 
Rep. Jamie Raskin at Trump's second impeachment.

During Donald J. Trump’s impeachment trial, Rep. Jamie Raskin made a clear case about what had happened under Donald J. Trump’s presidency. The acts Trump condoned on Jan. 6 were the acts of traitors. 

They were calling for the violent overthrow of the government. They refused the results of an election. They denied reality, and they attacked fellow Americans. 

The phrase the insurrectionists yelled at police officers indicated the police were traitors. The police, though, made no move to overthrow the government. They did not attack or attempt to harm others. They did not work to intimidate the election process. They stood in defense of their country. 

This is the defense of the United States government. How would it feel knowing you have family at home, that you have represented your nation for years, and that every day you put your life at risk to protect the people, not a party? The officers knew the mob could go inside the building and that the staffers therein didn’t have clear signs over their heads that read “Republican” or “Democrat”—these young individuals’ lives were at risk. Even elected officials don’t wear giant billboards reading “Republican” and “Democrat,” and unless they’re your representative, you might not know who they are, which means they were also at risk. 

The officers put their lives on the line. They did so against traitors. Traitors. Traitors. Raw Story posted video of Marjorie Taylor Greene talking about where the traitors are, including in Congress, and her fear of penalties.

She also says something that I firmly believe in and lecture about: that so much power is in the hands of voters. What she doesn’t say is that it’s this power Republicans are scared of, and it’s exactly why the Republicans are engaged in a massive plan to suppress votes. 

Greene begins this video talking about local elections, and I urge every single Democrat who reads this site to start paying attention. Your city council or county officer can help put polling places in locations that are more friendly or more intimidating to voters.

The Jan. 6 committee that begins today boils down to one word: traitors. The Jan. 6 rioters are traitors. Those who want to deny American voters the right to vote are traitors against our beliefs. When you spend your time working against the pillars of our nation, there is only one word for that: traitor.

Marjorie Taylor Greene, and every other Republican trying to deny American voters the right to vote, are no less traitors than those who invaded our Capitol on Jan. 6.
 

Tuesday, July 27, 2021

GOP in disarray: Cheney calls McCarthy 'childish' after he brands her a 'Pelosi Republican'

WASHINGTON, DC - JULY 21: U.S. Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY) speaks to reporters outside of the U.S. Capitol on July 21, 2021 in Washington, DC.  Cheney expressed her intention to stay on the committee investigating the January 6th riots after the decision by Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) to reject two of House Minority Leader McCarthy's picks for the committee. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)
GOP Rep. Liz Cheney of Wyoming talks to reporters about the Jan. 6 probe outside the U.S. Capitol on July 21, 2021, in Washington, D.C.

As the inaugural hearing of the Jan. 6 probe commences on Tuesday, the leadership deficit of GOP Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy will be on full display.

Rep. Liz Cheney of Wyoming, formerly the House GOP's third-ranking member whom McCarthy has sought to muzzle, now has an elevated platform on the Jan. 6 select committee, where she is essentially serving as the GOP's ranking member. On Tuesday, Cheney will deliver one of two opening statements at the outset of the panel’s investigation, a deliberate move by Democrats to emphasize the bipartisan nature of the inquiry. 

Cheney's prime spot on the panel will also be accompanied by an absolute dearth of Donald Trump's usual GOP bootlickers, leaving him effectively defenseless after years of people like Rep. Jim Jordan of Ohio turning every legitimate inquiry into an inscrutable circus. Now coverage of the hearing itself will include an unimpeded bipartisan effort to uncover actual facts about the Jan. 6 insurrection. Trump getting sliced and diced in hearings without cover from any of his usual suspects is pretty close to a worst-case scenario for House Republicans.

“Republicans should know better by now,” a former Trump aide told the Washington Post's Jacqueline Alemany. “The worst thing that can happen is for Democrats and Never Trumpers [to] have multiple shots on goal on Trump that will be shown on every cable news network.”

Meanwhile, broader coverage of the inquiry itself will feature Trump's GOP allies pillorying their Republican colleagues, Cheney and Rep. Adam Kinzinger of Illinois, who also accepted the invitation of Speaker Nancy Pelosi to sit on the committee. In the case of Tuesday's hearing, that criticism will be directed toward a proceeding that features the wrenching testimony of four officers who sought to protect congressional lawmakers, Vice President Mike Pence, and others from the Trump supporters who stormed the Capitol complex to overthrow the government. In other words, Republicans will once again put themselves directly at odds with the dedicated police officers who put their bodies on the line during the siege. So much for the party of law and order. 

On Monday, we got a glimpse of what that GOP infighting will look like. Asked about his refusal to seat people on the committee after Pelosi rejected two of his picks, McCarthy dismissed Cheney and Kinzinger as "Pelosi Republicans" and lambasted the panel's "credibility" before the first hearing was even called to order. 

Cheney responded by calling McCarthy's swipe "childish," a word also echoed by Kinzinger, indicating that the two are clearly coordinating their talking points. Unfortunately for McCarthy, Cheney is actually a far more skilled messenger than he is, and she will now be deploying her skillset against him and the GOP caucus rather than Democrats. 

"We've got serious business here," Cheney told reporters of the investigation. "We have important work to do, and I think that's pretty childish." Indeed, fully 72% of Americans said there's more to learn about the Jan. 6 attack in a CBS News/YouGov tracking poll released last week.

Kinzinger was also right on point.

"We're doing big things right now," he said when asked about McCarthy's insult. "We're getting to the answers of the worst attack on the Capitol since the war of 1812. They can call me whatever names they want."

So the bipartisan select committee is launching an inquiry into the worst homegrown attack on the U.S. seat of government in history, and the GOP leader—who may also be called to testify in the probe—is hurling partisan epithets at his Republican colleagues who have dared to demonstrate a shred of integrity.

It's the perfect set up for a drama that will play out into next year as voters weigh whether they want to put control of the lower chamber back into Republican hands.

McCarthy's ploy may or may not motivate Trumpers to get to the polls next year—a group that hasn't been particularly reliable in off years when Trump isn't on the ticket.

But one thing his posture won't do is win over many of the small-but-crucial slice of swing voters who could decide the outcome of next year's midterms. 

As conservative commentator Charlie Sykes said on MSNBC's Deadline: White House on Monday, "If you wanted to choreograph the worst possible political scenario, it's hard to do a better job than what Kevin McCarthy has done."

Once the staid and respected conservative party led by Ronald Reagan, the GOP now looks like this dude - Genghis Khan?  Attila the Hun? the Abominable Whiteman?

Monday, July 26, 2021

The New York Times profiles the 'most influential' purveyor of online COVID vaccine misinformation

ATLANTA, GA - MARCH 13: People hold signs at a protest against masks, vaccines, and vaccine passports outside the headquarters of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) on March 13, 2021 in Atlanta, Georgia. To date, there has been over 534,000 deaths in the U.S. due to covid-19.  (Photo by Elijah Nouvelage/Getty Images)
Anti-vaccination protesters, March 2021

Many of us who maintain a social media presence have at least one acquaintance, “Facebook friend” or real-life, actual friend who has in the past year shared some type of official-sounding, medical jargon-laden post questioning the value of the COVID-19 vaccines—or worse, directly asserting or implying that such vaccines are ineffective, harmful, deadly, or will lead to untold health problems.

According to the Center for Countering Digital Hate (CCDH), a U.S./UK nonprofit dedicated to fighting online disinformation and hate, nearly two-thirds of the anti-vaccine propaganda peddled in online forums and social media can be traced to exactly twelve individuals, colloquially labelled the “Disinformation Dozen.” If you are someone who spends a significant time in social media forums, the chances are high that you have seen, scrolled through or otherwise had some awareness of their activity online, be it in your local school board’s Facebook feed or other community sounding boards where supposedly informed individuals trade opinions and information.

According to the New York Times, and as confirmed in the CCDH’s comprehensive report profiling these individuals, the number one purveyor of this vaccine misinformation is a gentleman named Joseph Mercola, described by the Times as an osteopathic physician. Perhaps unsurprisingly, he currently headquarters his company in the state of Florida, which, as USA Today’s Nada Hassanein illustrates, is rapidly emerging as the nation’s predominant “hotspot” for spiking COVID-19 infections, almost entirely among those who have refused to be vaccinated against the virus.

On Saturday, the Times’  Sheera Frenkel profiled Mercola and cited multiple examples of his work, beginning with an article he published that appeared on Facebook in February. As Frenkel reports, that article, clocking in at 3,400 words, “declared coronavirus vaccines were “a medical fraud” and said the injections did not prevent infections, provide immunity or stop transmission of the disease.” The article (now deleted by Facebook) purportedly claimed that COVID-19 vaccines “alter[ed] your genetic coding, turning you into a viral protein factory that has no off-switch.” Spread by other anti-vaccine activists and translated into multiple languages, these assertions eventually reached 400,000 Facebook viewers.

Mercola, described as an “internet-savvy entrepreneur who employs dozens,” has, according to Frenkel’s reporting, published approximately 600 articles on Facebook since the advent of the COVID-19 pandemic.

“Mercola is the pioneer of the anti-vaccine movement,” said Kolina Koltai, a researcher at the University of Washington who studies online conspiracy theories. “He’s a master of capitalizing on periods of uncertainty, like the pandemic, to grow his movement.”

As the vaccination effort in this country approaches what can charitably be described as peak acceptance, the focus of many in the media has justifiably been on such political propaganda outlets such as Fox News, whose motivation for disseminating such lies can be attributed to political ends. It has become increasingly obvious, however, that many of those who refuse to be vaccinated (and thus contribute to the spread of COVID-19 through mutations such as the current delta variant) are having their political preconceptions against vaccinations reinforced through pseudo-medical misinformation they read online.

Several of the individuals profiled in the USA Today article (linked above via Yahoo News) illustrate the huge role social media has taken in fueling and perpetuating the COVID-19 pandemic in this country. As one physician in Florida’s Calhoun county—one of the epicenters of the recent surge in the state’s COVID-19 cases, with a current vaccination rate of only 23%—observes, it is virtually impossible to dissuade people from believing something they read on social media about these vaccines, particularly when it carries the imprimatur of medical expertise.

“We're a small community. We all know people who passed away from COVID. When someone passes away, it’s people we know,” Davis said. “But I still don’t feel like that overrides what people have seen on social media.”

Davis has heard it all – from the myths that the vaccine will turn people magnetic to the virus being a hoax. She tries to quell fears, countering the false claims with research and data but patients often shut the conversation down.

The responses she and other medical providers in Florida hear from people who refuse the vaccine typically include assertions that the vaccines are untested, “experimental,” and that there is too much contradictory information about them online.  Significantly, some of these opinions are being influenced by medical providers themselves; one gentleman quoted in the USA Today article was told by his wife, a registered nurse, that “the vaccines hadn't been studied enough.”

As Frenkel’s article points out, the general scientific and medical illiteracy most of the U.S. population provides the perfect breeding ground for purveyors and profiteers of unreliable information. Mercola is a case in point:

[R]ather than directly stating online that vaccines don’t work, Dr. Mercola’s posts often ask pointed questions about their safety and discuss studies that other doctors have refuted. Facebook and Twitter have allowed some of his posts to remain up with caution labels, and the companies have struggled to create rules to pull down posts that have nuance.

According to Frenkel’s article, Mercola, who originally practiced in Illinois, began in the 1990s to shift his practice toward alternative medicine and promoting natural health cures and treatments. A prolific author, he has even had a book on the New York Times’  bestseller list. As his fame (and wealth) have increased, he has developed a multinational presence through various consulting companies and offices. His selling tactics, bolstered by a Facebook following of over 1.7 million (he has a Spanish language page with one million followers as well), resort to a routine pattern, according to Frenkel:

It starts with making unproven and sometimes far-fetched health claims, such as that spring mattresses amplify harmful radiation, and then selling products online — from vitamin supplements to organic yogurt — that he promotes as alternative treatments.

As Frenkel reports, both Twitter and Facebook have taken down and issued cautions about several of Mercola’s postings. He has been sued by the Federal Trade Commission for purveying disinformation regarding the cancer-reducing qualities of tanning beds, and he has received a warning from the FDA regarding his claims about the efficacy of vitamin treatments in treating COVID-19 infection, and for selling unapproved health products. None of these actions appear to have dissuaded him from continuing to post misinformation. Frenkel cites a recent example of Mercola continuing to raise questions about the efficacy of the vaccines through his social media feed.

As noted above, Mercola is hardly the only one responsible for vaccine denialism; he simply has the biggest audience. It’s clear though, from what is happening on the ground in Florida, for example, with the widespread refusal among a susceptible, medically ignorant population to accept these vaccines (even in the face of increased infections and deaths), that this country faces an almost perfect storm of disinformation.

Fear is indeed the “mind-killer.” By cynically downplaying the seriousness of the pandemic over the past year and a half, Republicans like Donald Trump, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, and their allies in the U.S. Congress and state legislatures have fostered an environment where people’s fears and doubts take precedence over science. Those fears and doubts are then exponentially amplified and reinforced by what they read on social media. The anti-vaccine movement has taken full advantage of this unprecedented opportunity to sow doubt and regurgitate false or misleading information.

What we are witnessing right now in this country is the predictable outcome of these two insidious, destructive, and wholly complementary narratives, almost in real time.

And don't forget political propaganda outlets such as Fox News, whose motivation for disseminating Covid vaccine lies can be attributed to political ends.

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